As part of its longstanding relationship with BBVA Compass, the Leeds School recently hosted the third quarter 2009 U.S. Regional Watch. Nathaniel Karp, Chief Economist for BBVA Compass, presented an overview of the national economy and was assisted by BRD researchers Richard Wobbekind and Gary Horvath in addressing local issues.
Key points from Karp's outlook follow.
- The pace of the U.S. expansion will be sluggish for several years.
- Economic growth within the U.S. will exceed expansion in Western Europe.
- Risks will continue to exist in Eastern Europe countries.
- The Asia Pacific region will lead the recovery, with the strongest growth occurring in China.
- Personal consumption growth will be limited by deleveraging and savings.
- Capital expenditures will be constrained by excess capacity and industrial restructuring.
- The Fed will be hesitant to raise interest rates as inflation is expected to remain low in the short term.
Coloradans are fortunate to have two great opportunities to learn more about the outlook of the Colorado economy. First, the Southern Colorado Economic Forum is scheduled for October 30 at the Antlers Hotel in Colorado Springs. Second, Coloradans can also attend the 45th annual Colorado Business Economic Outlook Forum on December 7 at 1:00 pm in Denver at the Grand Hyatt.
For updates throughout the year, check out the Leeds Business Confidence Index (LBCI), a forward-looking index for the state of Colorado published quarterly by the BRD (January, April, July, and October).
